FloridaWCA partners are actively proposing and implementing collaborative research and application projects to advance their shared interests in relevant climate data and tools for use in water supply and resource planning. Initial project funding (Project 1 below) from NOAA SARP supports not only the technical research, but also the group building process itself. Often the “coordination” and group building aspects that we believe are critical to collaborative research are the most difficult aspects to fund.
Collaborative proposal development is important to sustaining the learning network and ensuring relevant outputs. Two externally funded projects have been funded by NOAA CPO listed below. Multiple proposals have been developed.
Project Dates: 09/01/2011-8/31/2013 extended to 8/31/2014 (COMPLETE)
Funded by NOAA SARP CPO
The goal of this project is to increase the regional relevance and usability of climate and sea level rise data and tools for the specific needs of water suppliers and resources managers in Florida. Specific objectives are to:
- Develop a collaborative “Working Group”
- Identify the appropriate spatio-temporal scales, climatic indices, and events that drive utilities’ decisions
- Evaluate the practical applicability of current climate data, models, tools at these scales
- Evaluate the usefulness of these data for minimizing current and future risks associated with climate in decision making processes.
- Asefa, T. and A. Adams, 2013, Reducing bias corrected precipitation projections uncertainties: A Bayesian based indicator weighting approach, Journal of Regional Environmental Change (2013) 13:111-120 DOI 10.1007/s10113-013-0431-9
- Bastola, S., 2013, Hydrologic impacts of future climate change on Southeast US watersheds, Reg. Environ Change, Springer-Verdag Berlin Heidelberg (doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0454-2
- Satish Bastola, V. Misra, and H.Li (2013) Seasonal hydrological forecasts for watersheds over the Southeastern United States for boreal summer and fall seasons (Submitted to Earth Interactions)
- Bolson, J., C. Martinez, N. Breuer, P. Srivastava, P. Knox, 2013, Climate information use among southeast US water managers: beyond barriers and toward opportunities, Reg. Environ Change, Springer-Verdag Berlin Heidelberg, DOI 10.1007/s10113-013-0463-1
- Chang, S. , WD Graham, S Hwang, R Muñoz-Carpena, Sensitivity of future continental United States water deficit projections to general circulation models, the evapotranspiration estimation method, and the greenhouse gas emission scenario, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3245–3261, 2016 http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/20/3245/2016/ , 2016.
- Hwang, S., W. Graham, J. Hernández, C. Martinez, J. Jones, and A. Adams, Quantitative Spatiotemporal evaluation of dynamically downscaled MM5 precipitation predictions over the Tampa Bay region, Florida, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 1447–1464, doi: 10.1175/2011JHM1309.1, 2011.
- Hwang, S., W. Graham, A. Adams, and J. Guerink, Assessment of the utility of dynamically-downscaled regional reanalysis data to predict streamflow in west central Florida using an integrated hydrologic model, Regional Environmental Change, Volume 13, Supplement 1, pp 69–80, doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0406-x, 2013.
- Hwang, S., and W. Graham, Development and comparative evaluation of a stochastic analog method to downscale daily GCM precipitation, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 4481-4502, doi:10.5194/hess-17-4481-2013 , 2013.
- Hwang, S., and W. Graham, Assessment of alternative methods for statistically downscaling daily GCM precipitation outputs to simulate regional streamflow, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 50 (4), 1010-1032, doi:10.1111/jawr.12154, 2014
- Hwang, S., W. Graham, J. Guerink, and A. Adams, Hydrologic implications of errors in bias-corrected regional reanalysis data for west-central Florida, Journal of Hydrology, 510:513–529, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.11.042, 2014.
- Li.Haiqin, et. al. (Dec. 2013) Projected climate change scenario over California by a regional ocean-atmosphere coupled model system, Climatic Change
- Li, Haiquin and V. Misra, (Jan 2014), thirty-two-year ocean-atmosphere coupled downscaling of global reanalysis over the Intra-American Seas, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014
- Misra, V.; S.M. DiNapoli, S. Bastola, 2013 Dynamic downscaling of the twentieth-century reanalysis over the southeastern United States, Reg. Environ Change, Springer-Verdag Berlin Heidelberg, (doi:10.1007/s10113-012-0372-8
- Misra,V. (Summer, 2013) The NOA MAPP Climate Prediction Task Force, U.S. CLIVAR VARIATIONS Summer 2013, Vol. 11, No. 2
- Nag, B., V. Misra, and S. Bastola, 2014: Validating ENSO teleconnections on Southeastern United States Winter Hydrology Earth Interactions. In press
- Obeysekera, J., Validating climate models for computing evapotranspiration in hydrologic studies: how relevant are climate model simulations over Florida?, Reg. Environ Change, Springer-Verdag Berlin Heidelberg, (doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0411-0)
Project Dates: 10/01/2012-06/31/2014
Funded by NOAA SARP CPO
The goal of this project is to improve the regional relevance of seasonal climate forecasts and increase their usability for multiple water managers in Florida. By increasing this usability, these seasonal forecasts can help to minimize short-term operational risks for water supply as well as ecosystem restoration. The specific objectives of this project are to:
- Evaluate of the skill of the large-scale NMME seasonal climate predictions using the NMME set of seasonal hindcasts
- Statistical downscaling of the NMME forecasts to the watershed scale and evaluate the skill of these seasonal predictions over three specific domains: Peace River Manasota Regional Water Supply Authority, Tampa Bay Water and the South Florida Water Management District.
- Execution of a comparative study across three organizations of the benefits and limitations of using seasonal climate forecasts for their operational needs
Publications, white papers, or reports
- Tian, D., Martinez, C.J., Graham, W.D. and S. Hwang. Statistical downscaling multi-model forecasts for seasonal precipitation and temperature over southeastern USA. To be submitted to Journal of Climate .
- Tian, D., Martinez, C.J., and W.D. Graham. Seasonal predictions of regional reference evapotranspiration (ETo) based on Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2). Submitted to Journal of Hydrometeorology.
- Tian Di, and C. Martinez, Seasonal forecasting skill of the National multimodel Ensemble (NMME) over southeastern Unitized States, Presentation at Florida Water and Climate Alliance Workshop 9, June 26, 2013
- Asefa, Tirusew, How we use seasonal forecasts at Tampa Bay Water, presentation at Florida Water and Climate Alliance Workshop 9, June 26, 2013
- Morris, Kevin, “Peace River Manasota Regional Water Supply Authority Decision Processes Related to Water Supply Management Choices,” case study shared at the Florida Water and Climate alliance Workshop 9, June 26, 2013
- Morris, Kevin, PRMRWA Deciscion Tool Case Study- When to start ASR? presentation at Florida Water and Climate Alliance Workshop 9, June 26, 2013